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別墅

積分: 684


1#
發表於 08-4-11 22:01 |只看該作者
Hong Kong after Sept,08 Porperties will drop so quick, because of NOT GOOD NEWS ANY MORE.....

Credit worries still cause WORLDWIDE


男爵府

積分: 7367


2#
發表於 08-4-11 22:30 |只看該作者
原文章由 fid 於 08-4-11 22:01 發表
Hong Kong after Sept,08 Porperties will drop so quick, because of NOT GOOD NEWS ANY MORE.....

Credit worries still cause WORLDWIDE



同意Credit worries係一個重要的利淡因素, 不過唔認為因此會拖累香港樓市大跌.


大宅

積分: 2909


3#
發表於 08-4-11 22:44 |只看該作者
Yes, US economy will be in great recession, so will the world and HK. Property price in HK must drop 99% quickly.

Do believe fid (= Bigballball). He was so smart and always right. Come on. Sell your property NOW at whatever price. He is our hero. He is our savior!:lol


男爵府

積分: 7367


4#
發表於 08-4-11 22:46 |只看該作者
原文章由 youma 於 08-4-11 22:44 發表
Yes, US economy will be in great recession, so will the world and HK. Property price in HK must drop 99% quickly.

Do believe fid (= Bigballball). He was so smart and always right. Come on. Sell your ...



係咩? 同一個人? 英文版的恩人?


別墅

積分: 684


5#
發表於 08-4-14 10:00 |只看該作者
Sorry, I am not same person of the bigballball, bigballball also very closely touch in the market.

Next, pls see Hunghom Peninsula bay (New world prolject) gov't house 2nd selling price will be starting drop at least 10% original price.


Thx


男爵府

積分: 7367


6#
發表於 08-4-22 15:35 |只看該作者
原文章由 fid 於 08-4-14 10:00 發表
Sorry, I am not same person of the bigballball, bigballball also very closely touch in the market.




What? BBB is very closely touch in the market? What a surprise!? How do you know?


大宅

積分: 1392


7#
發表於 08-4-22 15:38 |只看該作者
甘你有樓趁早賣啦, 九月再入貨

原文章由 fid 於 08-4-11 22:01 發表
Hong Kong after Sept,08 Porperties will drop so quick, because of NOT GOOD NEWS ANY MORE.....

Credit worries still cause WORLDWIDE


伯爵府

積分: 15999


8#
發表於 08-4-22 15:44 |只看該作者
Even if property drops, it will not drop 99% la! U cheat us mei! I'd rather keep my property than paying 45k per mth for rental of my current flat lah. Really can't afford paying such high rent to the landlord, I'd rather pay off the loan using the rental amt.

I highly believe rental will not drop.

For many people, even if property drops 10-20%, they can still tolerate as they bought their property at a low price. Only prices are crazy from Q4 2007-Q1 2008, and 1997 jei, other than that, prices are quite stable.


別墅

積分: 593


9#
發表於 08-4-22 16:02 |只看該作者
原文章由 c-wong 於 08-4-22 15:44 發表
Even if property drops, it will not drop 99% la! U cheat us mei! I'd rather keep my property than paying 45k per mth for rental of my current flat lah. Really can't afford paying such high rent to ...



Totally agree with you. The problem with people like BBB is that they cannot tell capital from revenue, and for some silly reasons that I can never understand they think capital gain/loss is more important than income/expenditure. They don't mind handing over a substantial part of their hard earned money to their landloards but are at the same time very fearful of any potential drop in price. Strange people indeed. But I love them. They pay my mortgages, meals and my children's tuition fees.


男爵府

積分: 9737


10#
發表於 08-4-22 16:17 |只看該作者
原文章由 fid 於 08-4-14 10:00 發表
Sorry, I am not same person of the bigballball, bigballball also very closely touch in the market.

Next, pls see Hunghom Peninsula bay (New world prolject) gov't house 2nd selling price will be start ...


Why big drop in Sept 08 and not before or after? Because Olympics is over?

Then when do you predict the interest rate will rise again? Sept 08? Seems that it will bottom out this month or so.

[ 本文章最後由 WYmom 於 08-4-22 16:40 編輯 ]


別墅

積分: 593


11#
發表於 08-4-22 16:18 |只看該作者
And, I want to make it clear that I am not making fun of BBB/fid. I do sincerely hope that they put their bias/fear aside and try to understand why incomes/expenses matter in the long run. It is not complicated at all. Ask yourself, 20 years from now, would you prefer to face a 10% drop in price or 10% increase in rent?


別墅

積分: 684


12#
發表於 12-3-18 14:24 |只看該作者

引用:Quote:原文章由+fid+於+08-4-11+22:01+發表

原帖由 MRNT 於 08-04-11 發表
同意Credit worries係一個重要的利淡因素, 不過唔認為因此會拖累香港樓市大跌. ...
看下MRNT




男爵府

積分: 7367


13#
發表於 12-3-18 14:40 |只看該作者
fid 發表於 12-3-18 14:24
看下MRNT

看下MRNT?

如果當日你夠膽入市,到今日都賺左3-5成啦!你唔係果陣賣左層自住樓,交租交到到依家瑪?

P.S.: 08年4月,CCI大約70點,今日98.41.


複式洋房

積分: 263


14#
發表於 12-3-18 21:47 |只看該作者
如果我係fid, 就唔好意思挖返呢個post出來了,我怕癒的。


象牙宮

積分: 222328

2024年龍年勳章


15#
發表於 12-3-18 22:31 |只看該作者
KKK18 發表於 12-3-18 21:47
如果我係fid, 就唔好意思挖返呢個post出來了,我怕癒的。

i am not a fan of fid so i did not read his other posts...

however, fid did forecast in April 2008 that the property price would be drop by Sept 2008...and that did happen, lehman brother got into bankruptcy at the same time, right? and the financial market was a mess since then....

fid, did you sell your property / stocks before Sept 2008?

more important, did you buy back anything in 2009?

p.s. KKK18, fid is showing off, i will check his other posts when i have time and see if he is always got right sense for the market...


男爵府

積分: 7367


16#
發表於 12-3-19 00:28 |只看該作者
fid 在4月就知道美國政府係9月會放棄拯救雷曼,繼而引發骨牌效影,多家巨型金融公司出問題,以至全球爆發信心危機,呢樣真係好好野既。

我都估唔到美國政府救完 Bear Stearms, Countrywide 等之後會忽然間唔救雷曼,我睇錯左,抵我輸錢。08-09輸左我個豬仔錢箱一半出去。

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