"From latest radar the movement has maintained on a steady WEST track, with very small southward component, which (if continue like now till 11 PM or so) will bring Pabuk to skirt Taiwan, not landalling at all.
The eye appear to have been filled a bit with rain, but a strong band is wrapping it from the south to the east, and it might become completely close again while intensifying. In fact, intensification is also proved by cooling cloud tops and a better satellite appearance than this morning and afternoon.
Need to closely monitor the evolution. If (repeat: IF) the same motion continue till it has passed Taiwan, it could land anywhere between Shantou and Hong Kong, and not as a marginal storm, but as a typhoon.
Seems also that some inflow disruption and a bit of "shake" induced by forming 08W has increased its size a bit, it looks more like an average sized system now."
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